2024 Presidential Election Predictions. Updating average for each candidate in 2024 presidential polls, accounting for each poll's recency, sample size, methodology and house effects. The telegraph is asking five experts to regularly predict who will win one of the tightest us elections in recent history.
Our model is updated every day, blending the latest data on polls and fundraising with fundamental factors like incumbency and each district’s partisan lean. Lichtman at american university, is an analytical framework for predicting the outcome of american presidential elections.